NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated December 30, 2021
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steve Creaser | 31 | 6 | 68.9% | 1 | 34.7 | 1 |
| 2 | Dan Ellenberger | 27 | 6 | 60.0% | 2 | 30.5 | 2 |
| 3 | Nick Boucher | 24 | 6 | 53.3% | 3 | 26.8 | 5 |
| 3 | Matt Hogel | 24 | 6 | 53.3% | 3 | 26.9 | 4 |
| 3 | Luke Phelan | 24 | 6 | 53.3% | 3 | 27.3 | 3 |
| 6 | Gavin Gray | 23 | 6 | 51.1% | 6 | 26.4 | 6 |
| 7 | Andrew Batchelor | 22 | 6 | 48.9% | 7 | 24.9 | 7 |
| 8 | Karl Loiseau | 21 | 6 | 46.7% | 8 | 23.3 | 9 |
| 8 | Mike Thorne | 21 | 6 | 46.7% | 8 | 24.4 | 8 |
| 10 | Andrew Moeller | 16 | 6 | 35.6% | 10 | 19.0 | 10 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 11 | 12.1 | ARI | 0.70 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 11 | 12.7 | @NYJ | 0.87 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 9 | 9.9 | KC | 0.33 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| Arizona Cardinals | 10 | 11.1 | @DAL | 0.30 |
| Tennessee Titans | 10 | 11.4 | MIA | 0.62 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 7 | 8.0 | @GB | 0.27 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Indianapolis Colts | 9 | 10.5 | LVR | 0.72 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 8 | 9.0 | @WAS | 0.62 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 7 | 7.8 | CLE | 0.39 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 11 | 12.2 | @BAL | 0.64 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 8 | 9.2 | HOU | 0.86 |
| Carolina Panthers | 5 | 5.5 | @NO | 0.28 |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Green Bay Packers | 12 | 13.4 | MIN | 0.73 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 8 | 9.2 | DEN | 0.72 |
| New York Jets | 4 | 4.2 | TB | 0.13 |
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| New England Patriots | 9 | 10.5 | JAX | 0.91 |
| Cleveland Browns | 7 | 8.1 | @PIT | 0.61 |
| Denver Broncos | 7 | 7.8 | @LAC | 0.28 |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 8 | 9.1 | RAM | 0.36 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 7 | 7.5 | @BUF | 0.11 |
| New Orleans Saints | 7 | 8.3 | CAR | 0.72 |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 11 | 12.2 | @CIN | 0.67 |
| Miami Dolphins | 8 | 8.8 | @TEN | 0.38 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2 | 2.3 | @NE | 0.09 |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 9 | 10.8 | ATL | 0.89 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 8 | 8.7 | @IND | 0.28 |
| New York Giants | 4 | 4.9 | @CHI | 0.30 |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Washington | 6 | 7.0 | PHI | 0.38 |
| Chicago Bears | 5 | 5.9 | NYG | 0.70 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 5 | 6.1 | DET | 0.73 |
- Win probability calculated from consensus vegas point spreads
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely contested
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 11 | 1 | 12 | -1 | 1 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 11 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 9 | 27 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Tennessee Titans | 10 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 1 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 10 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 1 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 7 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 2 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Green Bay Packers | 12 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 8 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 4 |
| New York Jets | 4 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 11 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 8 | 11 | 9 | -1 | 5 |
| Carolina Panthers | 5 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 7 | 9 | 9 | -2 | 8 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 9 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 2 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 8 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 1 |
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Cleveland Browns | 7 | 10 | 9 | -2 | 9 |
| New England Patriots | 9 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 2 |
| Denver Broncos | 7 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 8 | 5 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
| New Orleans Saints | 7 | 15 | 8 | -1 | 6 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 7 | 26 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 11 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 1 |
| Miami Dolphins | 8 | 16 | 8 | 0 | 3 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2 | 29 | 4 | -2 | 2 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 9 | 4 | 11 | -2 | 4 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 8 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 2 |
| New York Giants | 4 | 25 | 5 | -1 | 3 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Seattle Seahawks | 5 | 6 | 10 | -5 | 18 |
| Washington | 6 | 19 | 7 | -1 | 6 |
| Chicago Bears | 5 | 22 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
Draft Results
