Last updated December 30, 2021

Standings

Rank Team Wins Remaining Games Win % Win % Rank Projected Wins (FPI) Projected Rank (FPI)
1 Steve Creaser 31 6 68.9% 1 34.7 1
2 Dan Ellenberger 27 6 60.0% 2 30.5 2
3 Nick Boucher 24 6 53.3% 3 26.8 5
3 Matt Hogel 24 6 53.3% 3 26.9 4
3 Luke Phelan 24 6 53.3% 3 27.3 3
6 Gavin Gray 23 6 51.1% 6 26.4 6
7 Andrew Batchelor 22 6 48.9% 7 24.9 7
8 Karl Loiseau 21 6 46.7% 8 23.3 9
8 Mike Thorne 21 6 46.7% 8 24.4 8
10 Andrew Moeller 16 6 35.6% 10 19.0 10

Expanded Standings

Team Wins Projected
Wins
Next
Opponent
Win Probability
in Next Game
Steve Creaser
Dallas Cowboys 11 12.1 ARI 0.70
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 11 12.7 @NYJ 0.87
Cincinnati Bengals 9 9.9 KC 0.33
Dan Ellenberger
Arizona Cardinals 10 11.1 @DAL 0.30
Tennessee Titans 10 11.4 MIA 0.62
Minnesota Vikings 7 8.0 @GB 0.27
Luke Phelan
Indianapolis Colts 9 10.5 LVR 0.72
Philadelphia Eagles 8 9.0 @WAS 0.62
Pittsburgh Steelers 7 7.8 CLE 0.39
Matt Hogel
Los Angeles Rams 11 12.2 @BAL 0.64
San Francisco 49ers 8 9.2 HOU 0.86
Carolina Panthers 5 5.5 @NO 0.28
Nick Boucher
Green Bay Packers 12 13.4 MIN 0.73
Los Angeles Chargers 8 9.2 DEN 0.72
New York Jets 4 4.2 TB 0.13
Gavin Gray
New England Patriots 9 10.5 JAX 0.91
Cleveland Browns 7 8.1 @PIT 0.61
Denver Broncos 7 7.8 @LAC 0.28
Andrew Batchelor
Baltimore Ravens 8 9.1 RAM 0.36
Atlanta Falcons 7 7.5 @BUF 0.11
New Orleans Saints 7 8.3 CAR 0.72
Karl Loiseau
Kansas City Chiefs 11 12.2 @CIN 0.67
Miami Dolphins 8 8.8 @TEN 0.38
Jacksonville Jaguars 2 2.3 @NE 0.09
Mike Thorne
Buffalo Bills 9 10.8 ATL 0.89
Las Vegas Raiders 8 8.7 @IND 0.28
New York Giants 4 4.9 @CHI 0.30
Andrew Moeller
Washington 6 7.0 PHI 0.38
Chicago Bears 5 5.9 NYG 0.70
Seattle Seahawks 5 6.1 DET 0.73

Weekly Head-to-Heads

Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely contested

Draft Analysis

Team Wins Draft
Spot
Expected
Wins
Performance vs.
Expectation
Better
Choices
Steve Creaser
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 11 1 12 -1 1
Dallas Cowboys 11 20 7 4 0
Cincinnati Bengals 9 27 5 4 0
Dan Ellenberger
Tennessee Titans 10 8 9 1 1
Arizona Cardinals 10 17 8 2 1
Minnesota Vikings 7 21 7 0 2
Nick Boucher
Green Bay Packers 12 3 11 1 0
Los Angeles Chargers 8 13 8 0 4
New York Jets 4 30 4 0 0
Matt Hogel
Los Angeles Rams 11 7 10 1 0
San Francisco 49ers 8 11 9 -1 5
Carolina Panthers 5 28 4 1 0
Luke Phelan
Pittsburgh Steelers 7 9 9 -2 8
Indianapolis Colts 9 14 8 1 2
Philadelphia Eagles 8 23 7 1 1
Gavin Gray
Cleveland Browns 7 10 9 -2 9
New England Patriots 9 12 8 1 2
Denver Broncos 7 24 6 1 1
Andrew Batchelor
Baltimore Ravens 8 5 11 -3 7
New Orleans Saints 7 15 8 -1 6
Atlanta Falcons 7 26 5 2 1
Karl Loiseau
Kansas City Chiefs 11 2 11 0 1
Miami Dolphins 8 16 8 0 3
Jacksonville Jaguars 2 29 4 -2 2
Mike Thorne
Buffalo Bills 9 4 11 -2 4
Las Vegas Raiders 8 18 7 1 2
New York Giants 4 25 5 -1 3
Andrew Moeller
Seattle Seahawks 5 6 10 -5 18
Washington 6 19 7 -1 6
Chicago Bears 5 22 7 -2 4

Draft Results